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The hearing for Erion Veliaj is postponed.
United States President Donald Trump has great influence over the next phase of the war in Ukraine, but how he plans to use it remains an open question.
Trump pledged, during his first address after his inauguration, on January 20, that he would be a "peacemaker", and promised during the election campaign to quickly end the war in Ukraine, which receives billions of dollars in US military aid.
But his more commercial approach to diplomacy has fueled fears that he could make a deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin to the detriment of Ukraine.
"There are still concerns that Trump will reach a deal with Putin, and then tell Ukraine that it must accept it or he will suspend American aid to Ukraine," said Marie Dumoulin, a former French diplomat at the European Council on Foreign Relations.
The new US president's strategy for ending the war is still taking shape, but analysts have said he has two broad paths ahead.
The first is to push Ukraine – which is already facing a shortage of fighters and donor fatigue – to the negotiating table, making vital military aid conditional and forcing it to sign a peace deal on unfavorable terms, a possibility that Kiev and most Western capitals consider the worst-case scenario.
The other is to intensify pressure on Russia with new sanctions and increased military support for Ukraine.
"At this point, every option is still possible," Dumoulin said.
Both Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky have signaled they are open to negotiations, but it is unclear whether Kiev and Moscow are willing to make compromises.
Putin initially wanted to take control of Kiev and install a government close to Moscow. The Kremlin also continues to insist on holding on to occupied parts of Ukrainian territory and limiting the size of the Ukrainian army.
This is unacceptable to Kiev, which is demanding the return of its territory and the full withdrawal of Russian forces. Zelensky, however, has said he might be open to freezing the fighting along the current front line in exchange for paving the way for Ukraine's membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).
Trump is also trying to leverage his relationship with Putin, whom he has called a "smart" strategist in the past, and has said he plans to meet face-to-face with the Russian leader.
“Nga perspektiva e presidentit Trump, nuk mund të bësh një marrëveshje nëse nuk ke një lloj marrëdhënieje dhe dialogu me palën tjetër. Dhe, ne absolutisht do ta krijojmë muajve të ardhshëm”, ka thënë Mike Waltz, këshilltar i Trumpit për siguri kombëtare, gjatë një interviste më 12 janar.
Presidenti Trump ka përmendur sërish raportin e tij personal me udhëheqësin rus, teksa ka folur me gazetarë në Shtëpinë e Bardhë më 20 janar, duke thënë se “kalon shkëlqyeshëm [me Putinin]. Shpresoj që ai të jetë i interesuar për një marrëveshje”.
Por, Trump ka shprehur edhe kritika, sinjal që ai mund të nxjerrë edhe karotën, edhe shkopin, në përpjekje për të arritur një marrëveshje me Moskën.
“Unë mendoj se [Putin] po e shkatërron Rusinë duke mos bërë një marrëveshje”, ka thënë Trump. “Unë mendoj se Rusia do të ketë telashe të mëdha”.
Oleksandr Motsyk, ish-ambasador i Ukrainës në Shtetet e Bashkuara, ka thënë për Radion Evropa e Lirë se Kievi duhet të përgatitet për një mori lëvizjesh diplomatike, dhe të mos i frikohet afrimit ndërmjet Moskës dhe Uashingtonit.
“Në fazën e parë, Ukraina do të bisedojë me Shtetet e Bashkuara, dhe Rusia do të bisedojë me Shtetet e Bashkuara”, ka thënë ai. “Më pas, Shtetet e Bashkuara do t’i shikojnë pozicionet e të dyja palëve dhe, duke u bazuar në to, do të mund të bëjë propozime”.
Por, teksa vrulli për bisedime po rritet, Trump mund të hasë në vështirë për ta sjellë Rusinë në tavolinën e negociatave.
Analistët thonë se, pavarësisht humbjeve të mëdha që ka pësuar Rusia në fushëbetejë, Putin beson se është duke fituar në Ukrainë dhe ka pak interesim të tërhiqet.
Kjo mund ta nxisë Trumpin të përpiqet të marrë masa – që mund të përfshijnë vendosjen e sanksioneve më të ashpra ndaj ekonomisë së Rusisë.
Para largimit nga pushteti, administrata e presidentit Joe Biden ka vendosur sanksionet më të ndjeshme ndaj tregtisë ruse të naftës nga ndonjë fuqi perëndimore deri më sot. Trump mund t’i ashpërsojë ato.
Scott Bessent, i zgjedhur i Trumpit për sekretar të Thesarit, ka thënë gjatë seancës për konfirmimin e tij, më 16 janar, se ai mbështet “100 për qind” intensifikimin e sanksioneve ndaj prodhuesve rusë të naftës për ta sjellë Moskën “në tavolinë”, nëse Trump e kërkon një gjë të tillë.
Gjatë seancës për konfirmimin e tij në Senat, sekretari amerikan i Shtetit, Marco Rubio, ka thënë se sanksionet – si zbatimi, ashtu edhe heqja e tyre – mund të bëhen pjesë e diskutimeve për përfundimin e luftës gati trevjeçare.
Teksa ka thënë se si Rusia, ashtu edhe Ukraina duhet të bëjnë “lëshime” për të arritur një marrëveshje për paqe, Rubio ka pohuar se “sanksionet dhe heqja e sanksioneve” duhet “të jenë pjesë e kësaj bisede në aspekt të gjetjes së... një zgjidhjeje”.
Trump mund edhe t'i bëjë trysni Putinit për të marrë pjesë në bisedime, duke kërcënuar me rritje të mbështetjes ushtarake për Ukrainën dhe me ndryshimin e dinamikës në fushëbetejë.
It remains to be seen whether Trump will choose this path, especially considering his campaign promise to cut off financial support for Ukraine, and criticism of the Biden administration, during his first address after inauguration, for "unlimited funding for foreign border protection."
"Russia has never signaled a willingness to compromise," said former diplomat Dumoulin. "Trump has two main options: accept Moscow's conditions or try to change them."/ REL
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