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Expert Antonio Note: The Socialist Party is uncertain about obtaining 71 mandates

Expert Antonio Note: The Socialist Party is uncertain about obtaining 71

Expert Antonio Note published the second Notosondaggi poll for the May 11 parliamentary elections.

The results published on the show Log. on News 24 showed that there is uncertainty that the SP will win 71 seats and obtain an absolute majority in Parliament.

Note said that there is a greater chance that the SP will emerge from the elections with 69 mandates.

"To have a majority, the SP must win 14 more seats. For the 5 prefectures where we did not conduct polls this week, in 2021 the SP won 15 seats. So, in theory, if the SP were to reconfirm these 14 seats from these 5 prefectures, it would get an absolute majority in Parliament. But, we saw results in other prefectures where the SP lost several seats in 2021. If the SP were to win these 14 seats in these 5 prefectures that are not part of the poll, the SP wins 12 of them, it has the possibility of reaching 69 seats, and not 70. And what was said that with this poll the victory of the SP was clear is not true. I think the SP has a chance of capturing 70 seats, but there are still 2 weeks until voting day. The result of this poll has a lot of uncertainty for the SP to exceed 70 mandates. It could happen, but it's not certain," said the Italian expert.

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